ETF Outflows, Stablecoin Flows and DAT Reversals Signal Crypto Capital Flight: NYDIG

ETF Outflows, Stablecoin Flows and DAT Reversals Signal Crypto Capital Flight: NYDIG

Source: CoinDesk

Published:2025-11-23 21:00

BTC Price:$87435

#BTC #Bearish #ETFs

Analysis

Price Impact

High

Persistent outflows from spot bitcoin etfs ($3.55 billion in november) and a decline in stablecoin supply signal significant capital flight from the crypto market. this indicates a reversal of key demand sources that previously drove the rally, leading to a negative feedback loop.

Trustworthiness

High

The analysis comes from nydig's global head of research, greg cipolaro, a reputable source in the institutional crypto space. the report provides specific data points from sosovalue and detailed market observations.

Price Direction

Bearish

The reversal of major demand engines like spot bitcoin etf inflows and the active withdrawal of capital via stablecoin declines are exerting strong downward pressure. despite some institutional buying, these fundamental shifts are driving a price slide, as mechanisms that once pushed prices higher are now reinforcing a decline.

Time Effect

Short

Nydig explicitly warns of a 'potentially volatile near-term environment' and a 'bumpy ride,' although maintaining a long-term bullish thesis. the immediate impact of these capital outflows and demand reversals is expected to shape market dynamics in the short term.

Original Article:

Article Content:

Markets Share Share this article Copy link X icon X (Twitter) LinkedIn Facebook Email ETF Outflows, Stablecoin Flows and DAT Reversals Signal Crypto Capital Flight: NYDIG Spot bitcoin ETFs have seen persistent outflows ($3.55 billion in November), and stablecoin supply has declined, indicating capital is leaving the market, NYDIG Said. By Francisco Rodrigues | Edited by Aoyon Ashraf Nov 23, 2025, 9:00 p.m. (CoinDesk) What to know : Bitcoin's price drop is driven by market mechanics, not sentiment, according to NYDIG's Greg Cipolaro, with key demand sources reversing. Spot bitcoin ETFs have seen persistent outflows ($3.55 billion in November) and stablecoin supply has declined, indicating capital is leaving the market. Cipolaro warns of a potentially volatile near-term environment, but maintains a long-term bullish thesis, advising investors to be prepared for a bumpy ride. Bitcoin’s slide to $84,000 is being driven less by mood and more by mechanics, according to Greg Cipolaro, Global Head of Research at NYDIG . In a report, Cipolaro said the core engines of the 2024–25 rally have shifted into reverse. Spot bitcoin ETFs, once the primary source of demand for the cycle, now exhibit persistent redemptions. Those vehicles funneled billions into bitcoin during the first half of the year, the report points out, but trailing five-day flows have turned negative. STORY CONTINUES BELOW Don't miss another story. Subscribe to the Crypto Daybook Americas Newsletter today . See all newsletters Sign me up By signing up, you will receive emails about CoinDesk products and you agree to our terms of use and privacy policy . Data from SoSoValue shows that these ETFs are on track to register their highest monthly outflow since launch, having bled out $3.55 billion so far in November, just shy of the $3.56 billion record outflow seen in February. Read more: Bitcoin ETFs Have Bled a Record $3.79B in November Aggressive capital flight Stablecoins are flashing a similar signal. The total supply has dipped for the first time in months, and the algorithmic USDE token has lost nearly half of its outstanding supply since the Oct. 10 liquidation shock. NYDIG’s Cipolaro said this drop points to money leaving the market rather than moving to the sidelines. “Given its role in the selloff, where it fell to $0.65 on Binance, its rapid contraction underscores how aggressively capital has been pulled from the system,” he wrote. The report suggests that other factors point to capital outflows. Corporate treasury trades built around DAT share premiums relative to net asset value have also broken down. As those premiums flipped to discounts, firms that once issued stock to buy bitcoin are now selling assets or buying back shares. Sequans, for example, has earlier this month unloaded BTC to cut debt. “Importantly, while these reversals mark a clear shift from a once-strong demand engine to a potential headwind, no DAT has yet shown signs of financial distress,” Cipolaro pointed out. “Leverage remains modest, interest obligations are manageable, and many DAT structures allow issuers to suspend dividend or coupon payments if needed.” Large bitcoin purchases during the dip, including those from Strategy and the country of El Salvador , failed to stop the price drop. To Cipolaro, the “fact that these sizable purchases didn’t even slow the decline is telling.” He argued that these reversals form a feedback loop set off by the $19 billion liquidation event on Oct. 10. The mechanisms that once pushed prices higher are now reinforcing the decline. In his view, investors should “hope for the best, but prepare for the worst," noting that “the long-term thesis is still alive, but the near-term environment may be shaped by well-worn cyclical mechanics." “History suggests the next stretch could be bumpy, but secular conviction remains an important asset for long-term investors,” Cipolaro added. Read more: Crypto Liquidity Still Hollow After October Crash, Risking Sharp Price Swings NYDIG Digital Asset Treasury Spot bitcoin etf More For You Protocol Research: GoPlus Security By CoinDesk Research Nov 14, 2025 Commissioned by GoPlus What to know : As of October 2025, GoPlus has generated $4.7M in total revenue across its product lines. The GoPlus App is the primary revenue driver, contributing $2.5M (approx. 53%), followed by the SafeToken Protocol at $1.7M. GoPlus Intelligence's Token Security API averaged 717 million monthly calls year-to-date in 2025 , with a peak of nearly 1 billion calls in February 2025. Total blockchain-level requests, including transaction simulations, averaged an additional 350 million per month. Since its January 2025 launch , the $GPS token has registered over $5B in total spot volume and $10B in derivatives volume in 2025. Monthly spot volume peaked in March 2025 at over $1.1B , while derivatives volume peaked the same month at over $4B. View Full Report More For You Bitcoin Rebounds From 'Extreme Oversold' Levels; XRP Jumps 7%, ZEC Surges 14% By Siamak Masnavi , AI Boost 6 hours ago Bitcoin and major altcoins bounced Sunday after an oversold RSI reading and more than $200M in liquidations signaled seller exhaustion amid thin weekend liquidity. What to know : Bitcoin rebounded after hitting extreme oversold levels on the RSI, a zone that previously preceded short-term recoveries. More than $206 million in weekend liquidations and thinning liquidity pointed to seller exhaustion. 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