The greed & fear index hitting extreme pessimism often signals a tactical or interim low, potentially leading to a short-term bounce. while a full trend reversal is not guaranteed, a rebound similar to previous instances (e.g., 10% rebound after prior sentiment low) is possible.
Analysis from 10x research and its founder, markus thielen, a reputable firm. the methodology of their proprietary greed & fear index and its historical correlation to tactical lows is detailed.
Extreme fear historically precedes short-term rebounds. the 21-day simple moving average of the index reaching 10% has consistently marked tactical lows, suggesting a bounce is likely from current levels.
The analysis explicitly refers to a 'tactical low' and 'short-term rebound,' indicating that any positive price movement is expected to be temporary or an interim bounce within a potentially larger downtrend.
Markets Share Share this article Copy link X icon X (Twitter) LinkedIn Facebook Email Bitcoin Greed & Fear Index Shows Extreme Pessimism, Tactical Bottom May Be Near: Analyst Peak fear suggests a tactical low may be near. By Omkar Godbole , AI Boost Nov 22, 2025, 3:57 a.m. BTC bear sentiment hits extreme. (TheDigitalArtist/Pixabay) What to know : Bitcoin's Greed & Fear Index has plummeted to extreme pessimism, according to 10x Research. Peak fear suggests a tactical low may be near. Bitcoin BTC $ 84,452.56 sentiment has plunged into extreme pessimism, suggesting a tactical or interim low from which a bounce is likely, according to analytics firm 10x Research. The firm's proprietary "Greed & Fear" Index, which measures market sentiment, has crashed to a record low of less than 5 points. Readings below 10% represent extreme fear or pessimism, and above 90% signal green or over-optimism. STORY CONTINUES BELOW Don't miss another story. Subscribe to the Crypto Daybook Americas Newsletter today . See all newsletters Sign me up By signing up, you will receive emails about CoinDesk products and you agree to our terms of use and privacy policy . More importantly, the 21-day simple moving average of the index has slipped to 10%, a level that has consistently marked tactical lows over the years. "Our own 10x Greed & Fear Index has been sitting near its lowest possible reading, and the slower-moving average has now reached the 10% zone, a level that often marks a tactical low," Markus Thielen, founder of 10x Research, told CoinDesk. Peak pessimism does not necessarily signal an immediate end to the downtrend. While prices may continue to decline, the pace is likely to slow, with a tactical low in sight. "Prices can still fall further, as we saw in March when the indicator bottomed before bitcoin continued to slide into April. Yet, bitcoin still staged a 10% rebound immediately after that initial sentiment low. With sentiment now near rock bottom again, a similar short-term rebound is possible," Thielen explained. Bitcoin traded near $84,800 at press time, having hit a low of $80,880 on Friday, according to data from CoinDesk. Despite the bounce, prices are still down 10% for the week and 23% for the month. Bitcoin News Greed Markets AI Disclaimer: Parts of this article were generated with the assistance from AI tools and reviewed by our editorial team to ensure accuracy and adherence to our standards . For more information, see CoinDesk's full AI Policy . More For You Protocol Research: GoPlus Security By CoinDesk Research Nov 14, 2025 Commissioned by GoPlus What to know : As of October 2025, GoPlus has generated $4.7M in total revenue across its product lines. The GoPlus App is the primary revenue driver, contributing $2.5M (approx. 53%), followed by the SafeToken Protocol at $1.7M. GoPlus Intelligence's Token Security API averaged 717 million monthly calls year-to-date in 2025 , with a peak of nearly 1 billion calls in February 2025. Total blockchain-level requests, including transaction simulations, averaged an additional 350 million per month. Since its January 2025 launch , the $GPS token has registered over $5B in total spot volume and $10B in derivatives volume in 2025. Monthly spot volume peaked in March 2025 at over $1.1B , while derivatives volume peaked the same month at over $4B. View Full Report More For You Grayscale's DOGE, XRP ETFs to Go Live on NYSE Monday By Helene Braun , AI Boost | Edited by Nikhilesh De 9 hours ago Rival crypto asset manager Bitwise launched its XRP ETF earlier this week. What to know : Grayscale’s Dogecoin (GDOG) and XRP (GXRP) ETFs will begin trading on NYSE Arca, offering spot exposure to each asset. The launches follow rising demand for altcoin ETFs, with Bitwise and Franklin Templeton also expanding into DOGE, XRP and Solana products. Read full story Latest Crypto News Grayscale's DOGE, XRP ETFs to Go Live on NYSE Monday 9 hours ago ICP Breaks Major Support as Volume Spike Confirms Accelerated Downtrend 9 hours ago BitMine Immersion Sitting on $4B Loss on Ether Bet as Analyst Warns of Structural issues 9 hours ago Japanese Bitcoin Treasury Firms Keep Beating BTC. Tax Policy Makes Outperforming U.S. Peers the Easy Part 11 hours ago HBAR Crashes 11.5% Breaking Below Key Support Levels 11 hours ago Michael Saylor Speaks Out Again as MSCI Concerns Mount 11 hours ago Top Stories Grayscale's DOGE, XRP ETFs to Go Live on NYSE Monday 9 hours ago Michael Saylor Speaks Out Again as MSCI Concerns Mount 11 hours ago BitMine Immersion Sitting on $4B Loss on Ether Bet as Analyst Warns of Structural issues 9 hours ago Bitcoin Bounces Above $84K as Fed's Williams Puts December Rate Cut Back on Table 14 hours ago Coinbase to Snap Up Solana-Based DEX Vector as Acquisition Spree Continues 13 hours ago U.S. House Bill Would Allow Federal Taxes in BTC While Aiding U.S. Reserve 12 hours ago In this article BTC BTC $ 84,452.56 ◢ 1.55 %