Analysts dismiss us government shutdown or ai concerns as primary drivers for bitcoin's recent drawdown. instead, they attribute it to 'too high levels of futures leverage' and view it as a necessary 'reset' or 'clean slate' that historically precedes upward movements.
Insights are provided by multiple well-known on-chain and bitcoin analysts (rational root, planb, planc, cory klippsten, jack mallers) with supporting data like nvidia's earnings and historical cycle analysis.
Despite the recent dip, analysts see this as a 'reset' that has historically 'allowed us to move higher.' they anticipate a 'gradual structure' towards 'more upside,' with fundamental drivers like global liquidity and potential institutional adoption (e.g., etfs) expected to be long-term catalysts.
The 'reset' effect is viewed as setting the stage for future, potentially gradual, price appreciation over a longer period. discussions around 4-year cycles breaking and potential etf approvals in 2026 suggest a long-term outlook for significant price movements driven by institutional adoption and fundamental liquidity shifts.
Ciaran Lyons 30 seconds ago Bitcoin’s drawdown shouldn’t be blamed on US shutdown or AI: Analysts An onchain analyst said every time Bitcoin has seen a plunge like this, it has “allowed us to move higher.” News COINTELEGRAPH IN YOUR SOCIAL FEED Bitcoin’s recent price plunge has little to do with the recent US government shutdown or with the so-called AI tech bubble, according to crypto analysts. Many market participants had speculated that Bitcoin ( BTC ) — which recently fell to its lowest level in almost eight months — was still reeling from widespread macroeconomic uncertainty due to the recent US government shutdown, which ended last week. Others suggested that concerns about an AI bubble are spilling into crypto markets. Victoria Scholar, head of investment for Interactive Investor, recently said : “Fears of an AI bubble and concerns about the market’s heavy dependence on a handful of tech giants have caused investors to dial back their exposure to speculative assets such as Bitcoin.” However, onchain analyst Rational Root pushed back on that US shutdown theory during a podcast interview published on YouTube on Wednesday. “I wouldn’t contribute the drawdown in Bitcoin all to the shutdown of the government,” Rational Root said. Instead, the analyst said Bitcoin’s tumble from its all-time highs of $125,100 in October was likely due to “too high levels of futures leverage in Bitcoin.” It’s not AI bubble fears either Meanwhile, Bitcoin analyst PlanB also dismissed the idea that AI concerns may be affecting Bitcoin’s price. Bitcoin is down 13.90% over the past 30 days. Source: CoinMarketCap “We can remove the AI Bubble thesis from the list of reasons Bitcoin is down,” PlanC said in an X post on Wednesday, pointing to Nvidia having “very strong earnings.” On Wednesday, Nvidia reported record revenue of $57 billion for its third quarter ended Oct. 26, up 62% from a year ago and beating Wall Street projections of $54.7 billion. The analyst said the list of reasons is getting “smaller and smaller.” Only a few reasons for the Bitcoin slump remain “Only the 4-year cycle astrology narrative and delayed global liquidity remain,” PlanC said. “And the 4-year narrative has a high probability of breaking,” he said, which has been an ongoing debate within the crypto industry in recent times. Swan Bitcoin CEO and Bitcoin advocate Cory Klippsten recently told Cointelegraph Magazine that “there is a very good chance that Bitcoin’s famous four-year price cycles are over, killed by institutional adoption.” Source: zerohedge Global liquidity, which is often tracked using the M2 money supply, is a common topic of discussion among Bitcoin holders. Strike CEO Jack Mallers recently said , “Bitcoin is the most sensitive to liquidity. It moves first. It’s a truth machine.” Bitcoin was in need of a reset Rational Root said Bitcoin now has a “clean slate” and a potential opportunity for more upside. “We have actually three times in these last three years in this three-year bull market, we have seen a reset comparable to levels of bear markets,” he said. He added that each one of these resets has “allowed us to move higher.” “I think it will move in a more gradual structure to be fair,” Root said. Some market analysts have recently suggested that the US government’s end to the shutdown and return to regular legislative sessions may spark a surge in new crypto exchange-traded fund (ETF) approvals by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) in 2026. Magazine: Crypto carnage — Is Bitcoin’s 4-year cycle over? Trade Secrets # Bitcoin # Cryptocurrencies # Bitcoin Price # Adoption Add reaction