Ethereum To $6,800 By Year End? CME Futures Data Shows Record Institutional Demand

Ethereum To $6,800 By Year End? CME Futures Data Shows Record Institutional Demand

Source: NewsBTC

Published:2025-09-12 04:00

BTC Price:$115146

#eth #defi #crypto

Analysis

Price Impact

High

Record high cme futures open interest indicates strong institutional demand and fomo, suggesting potential for significant price movement.

Trustworthiness

High

The analysis is based on verifiable data from cryptoquant and tradingview, and the source adheres to a strict editorial policy focused on accuracy and impartiality.

Price Direction

Bullish

Rising institutional interest, positive exchange data (eth outflows from binance), and increasing eth staking suggest a bullish outlook for eth, with a potential target of $6,800 by the end of 2025.

Time Effect

Long

The prediction focuses on a target price by the end of 2025, indicating a medium to long-term perspective.

Original Article:

Article Content:

Reason to trust Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality Created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed The highest standards in reporting and publishing How Our News is Made Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality Ad discliamer Morbi pretium leo et nisl aliquam mollis. Quisque arcu lorem, ultricies quis pellentesque nec, ullamcorper eu odio. As Ethereum (ETH) trades in the mid $4,000 range, the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) futures open interest (OI) for the digital asset continues to hit new highs. Against that backdrop, analysts are now predicting a new all-time high (ATH) for ETH later this year. Ethereum New ATH By End Of 2025? According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor PelinayPA, Ethereum’s CME futures OI is steadily moving towards new highs. The analyst brought attention to past data about Ethereum futures OI to predict its next move. Related Reading Ethereum Marches Upward Without Leverage Overheating – Sign Of Structural Health? 3 days ago Back in 2021-2022, Ethereum futures OI remained relatively low, largely dominated by 1-2 month contracts. At the time, although ETH gained bullish momentum, institutional exposure to the cryptocurrency on CME was still limited. In sharp contrast, during the 2022 bear market, a drop in the ETH price led to a steep decline in its OI. While the period was still dominated by short-term contracts, long-term contracts stayed low, indicating weak institutional confidence in ETH. However, a trend change was observed during the 2023-2024 recovery as Ethereum OI started to rise again – specifically among 3-6 month contracts. Simultaneously, institutional demand grew alongside ETH’s price. Fast-forward to 2025, Ethereum OI has surged to new highs. As ETH rallied to the $4,500 to $5,000 range, there was a noticeable growth in short-term contracts. This dynamic indicates strong institutional participation and demand for derivatives. Source: CryptoQuant The CryptoQuant analyst explained the implications of two potential combinations of OI and contract concentration. First, high OI with concentrated short-term contracts can lead to increased volatility, potentially leading to sharp swings and liquidation cascades. On the contrary, rising long-term OI in 3-6 month contracts indicates growing institutional confidence and potential for higher ETH prices in the long-term. That said, crowded leveraged positions could trigger rapid corrections in the short term. PelinayPA added: ETH is trading around $5K (near ATH) with record OI on CME clear evidence of institutional FOMO. While this supports the ongoing bull trend, liquidation risk is high. Short term volatility and corrections are likely, but the medium to long term outlook remains bullish. Concluding, the analyst predicted that ETH could reach the $6,800 resistance level by the end of 2025. However, any deterioration in the global macroeconomic outlook could stall ETH’s momentum temporarily. Case For A New ETH ATH Besides the aforementioned prediction on the back of rising institutional interest in ETH, positive exchange data is also likely to benefit the cryptocurrency. For example, recent ETH outflows from Binance drove the supply ratio to a new low. Related Reading Ethereum Eyes $5,500 Amid Illiquid Supply Crunch And ETF Momentum 1 week ago In addition, an increasing amount of ETH continues to be staked on the Ethereum network, strengthening the smart contract platform’s fundamentals and making it more robust. At press time, ETH trades at $4,409, down 0.7% in the past 24 hours. Ethereum trades at $4,409 on the daily chart | Source: ETHUSDT on TradingView.com Featured image from Unsplash, charts from CryptoQuant and TradingView.com