Analyst markus thielen suggests a 'perfect storm' of macro catalysts could drive bitcoin to $116,000 by july, citing strong etf inflows, federal reserve uncertainty, and declining exchange balances.
The analysis is based on identified trends and potential political influence on economic policy, but it involves speculation about future events and market reactions. the analyst is identified, and specific data points are referenced, adding some credibility.
The confluence of strong etf inflows (driven by macro concerns and potential political pressure on the federal reserve), along with decreasing bitcoin balances on exchanges (indicating scarcity), points to potential upward price movement.
The analyst's prediction is specifically for july, suggesting a short-term price impact.
Ciaran Lyons 1 minute ago Bitcoin may tap $116K in July amid ‘perfect storm’ of macro catalysts A move to $116,000 represents a 6.45% jump from Bitcoin’s current price at the time of publication. Listen 0:00 6 Markets News COINTELEGRAPH IN YOUR SOCIAL FEED Bitcoin could climb to $116,000 by the end of this month as three macroeconomic factors turn favorable for the asset, according to a crypto analyst. “I think $116,000 is possible,” 10x Research head of research Markus Thielen told Cointelegraph after highlighting three macro factors that could help bolster Bitcoin’s ( BTC ) price this month in a report on Thursday. Bitcoin is testing the top of the range, and more upside is possible “Bitcoin is testing the top of its consolidation range, just as a perfect storm of macro catalysts begins to build,” he added, pointing to the strong uptick in spot Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) inflows, US Federal Reserve uncertainty, and the rapid decline of Bitcoin supply on crypto exchanges. A move for Bitcoin to $116,000 represents a 6.45% jump from its current price of $108,990 and a 3.60% jump from its current all-time high of $111,970, according to CoinMarketCap data. Bitcoin is up 0.69% over the past seven days. Source: CoinMarketCap He pointed to strong inflows into spot Bitcoin ETFs, which experienced their first net outflow day on Wednesday after 15 consecutive days of inflows , as a bullish indicator for Bitcoin. “These flows are increasingly outpacing price action, signaling institutional demand driven more by macro concerns than short-term momentum.” Thielen said that the political pressure on the US Federal Reserve from US President Donald Trump may have been the reason for the surge in inflows. In April, Trump criticized Fed Chair Jerome Powell, saying his termination “can’t come fast enough.” “This rhetoric may have been a catalyst for the third wave of Bitcoin ETF accumulation,” Thielen said. Since May 1, US-based spot Bitcoin ETFs have recorded $9.91 billion in inflows, approximately 20% of their total inflows since launching in January 2024, according to Farside data. A new Fed chair may be “more inclined toward rate cuts” Thielen speculated that Trump might push for a new Fed chair who could advocate for a looser monetary policy, potentially benefiting Bitcoin. “It may only be a matter of time before Trump nominates a new Fed chair more inclined toward rate cuts, evoking comparisons to Arthur Burns, whose capitulation to political pressure helped fuel the inflation of the 1970s.” Related: Bitcoin bulls gain edge, target $110K ahead of $20B monthly options expiry Thielen also pointed out that Bitcoin balances on crypto exchanges “are shrinking.” “Exchange balances have now declined for 98 consecutive days, marking the longest drawdown since 2020, which preceded the last major bull market breakout,” Thielen said. “Historically, such sustained outflows signal rising scarcity and mounting upside pressure. If this pattern continues, Bitcoin could be setting the stage for another breakout,” he added. Magazine: Pakistan will deploy Bitcoin reserve in DeFi for yield, says Bilal Bin Saqib This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision. # Bitcoin # Cryptocurrencies # Bitcoin Price # Adoption # Markets Add reaction