Bitcoin Crash To $30,000? China Mining Giant Says Strategy Can Survive

Bitcoin Crash To $30,000? China Mining Giant Says Strategy Can Survive

Source: NewsBTC

Published:01:00 UTC

BTC Price:$62643.0

#btc #microstrategy #crypto

Analysis

Price Impact

Med

The article discusses potential selling pressure from microstrategy, a major btc holder. while the ceo of btctop argues against significant net selling, the mere possibility of selective sales to manage liabilities or demonstrate gains could introduce temporary downward pressure if the market interprets it negatively.

Trustworthiness

Med

Price Direction

Neutral

The article presents a balanced view. while it addresses fears of a crash due to microstrategy's potential selling, it also provides counterarguments suggesting that any selling would be strategic and limited, aimed at demonstrating gains and managing liabilities without becoming a 'net seller.' this suggests a neutral immediate outlook, with the price movement depending on how the market digests these arguments.

Time Effect

Short

The market's reaction to the potential for microstrategy to sell some btc (even if selective) could impact prices in the short term. however, the core argument about microstrategy's long-term strategy and its ability to manage liabilities suggests that the impact might be temporary if the company can execute its plan.

Original Article:

Article Content:

Reason to trust Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality Created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed The highest standards in reporting and publishing How Our News is Made Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality Ad discliamer Morbi pretium leo et nisl aliquam mollis. Quisque arcu lorem, ultricies quis pellentesque nec, ullamcorper eu odio. Jiang Zhuoer, CEO of BTCTOP and one of China’s best-known Bitcoin mining figures, pushed back against fears that Strategy could become a major forced seller of BTC, arguing that the company’s balance-sheet risk remains manageable even under a severe Bitcoin drawdown. In a post on X, Jiang said he does not believe MicroStrategy, now Strategy, will “substantially net sell BTC,” pointing to a group discussion he shared on the company’s liabilities, STRC interest payments, funding structure and market concerns. The comments come as investors debate whether Strategy’s Bitcoin-backed capital markets model could come under pressure if BTC weakens further or if demand for STRC remains fragile. Bitcoin Panic Over Strategy Overblown? At the center of Jiang’s argument is the distinction between selling some Bitcoin and becoming a net seller of Bitcoin. He argued that a limited sale of older, low-cost BTC could be used to demonstrate realized investment gains, support STRC-related payments and reassure traditional investors without changing the broader accumulation strategy. Related Reading Bitcoin’s “Electrical Cost” Suggests Possible Bear Market Floor Near $50,000 — Analyst 1 day ago “MicroStrategy will not significantly net-sell its coins,” the translated group discussion stated. “He already explained the reason for the last coin sale in an interview. He wanted to sell STRC.” According to the discussion, Strategy’s logic rests on the assumption that Bitcoin’s long-term appreciation can support the cost of STRC funding . The message attributed the thesis to a calculation that BTC can compound at around 30% annually, while using roughly 10% to pay interest would still leave sufficient room for the strategy to work. The concern, however, is not simply whether Strategy owns enough Bitcoin. It is whether the firm’s financing structure looks credible to traditional investors. The discussion framed the market’s core worry bluntly: if later STRC proceeds are used to pay earlier STRC interest, critics could view the model as resembling a Ponzi-like funding loop. That is why, in Jiang’s view, selective Bitcoin sales may be necessary rather than alarming. Selling some of the earliest and cheapest BTC would allow Strategy to show accounting gains. Those gains could then be used to pay STRC interest, while newly raised STRC proceeds are deployed into additional Bitcoin purchases. If the new BTC purchases are several times larger than the old BTC sold, Jiang argued, Strategy remains a net buyer. “So MicroStrategy has to sell some of the earliest and cheapest Bitcoin it bought,” the translated discussion said. “That way, accounting-wise, it can show investment gains. Then using the investment gains from selling Bitcoin to pay STRC interest becomes completely reasonable.” Related Reading Bitcoin’s Great Wealth Transfer May Fuel Next Rally, Says CryptoQuant CEO 4 days ago Jiang also pushed back against fears that Strategy’s liabilities could spiral if STRC trades below par. He said the current debt-to-asset ratio is only about 5%, and characterized STRC’s discount as a short-term market sentiment issue rather than a sign of insolvency risk. In the worst case, he argued, several months of continued payments could restore confidence in the instrument. The discussion used a real estate analogy to explain the point. If a borrower owns $10 billion of houses and has borrowed $500 million, lenders may still worry if the borrower insists the houses can never be sold. But if the borrower shows willingness to sell one house to cover interest, the risk profile changes. “After all, I have 10 billion worth of houses, and I only borrowed 500 million,” the translated message said. “As long as I’m willing to sell houses, there absolutely won’t be a situation where I can’t repay 500 million. That is why MicroStrategy has to start selling coins: to borrow more money and buy more coins.” Jiang’s argument also distinguishes STRC holders from Bitcoin holders. In his view, STRC buyers are not primarily betting on BTC upside; they care whether Strategy is willing and able to pay dividends. If the company shows that it can monetize BTC when needed, that may reduce the biggest concern among STRC investors. At press time, BTC traded at $63,468. BTC remains below the 200-week EMA, 1-week chart | Source: BTCUSDT on TradingView.com Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com