Ether exchange balances have plummeted to an unprecedented low of 8.7% (since 2015), indicating a significant reduction in sellable supply. this supply squeeze is driven by eth moving into staking, restaking, layer-2 activity, dats, collateral loops, and long-term custody.
The analysis is backed by glassnode data, a reputable on-chain analytics provider, and technical analysis (on-balance volume breakout) from respected analysts, indicating hidden buying strength.
The severe supply squeeze, coupled with a technical breakout in the on-balance volume (obv) indicator signaling hidden buying strength, suggests a strong potential for upside price movement. the eth/btc pair also recently broke above a downtrend line, reinforcing bullish sentiment.
The underlying structural shift of eth moving into illiquid venues like staking and long-term custody represents a fundamental change in supply dynamics, which is expected to have a sustained, long-term bullish effect on price.
Martin Young 2 minutes ago Ether supply squeeze looms with exchanges holding lowest levels since 2015 Ether exchange balances dropped to a record low of 8.7% as more ETH moved into staking and custody, setting up a potential supply squeeze. Listen 0:00 News COINTELEGRAPH IN YOUR SOCIAL FEED The amount of Ether stored on centralized crypto exchanges is at an unprecedented low, which could result in a supply squeeze, say analysts. Ether ( ETH ) exchange balances fell to 8.7% on Thursday last week, the lowest they have been since the network launched in mid-2015. The amount of the asset held on exchanges remained low at 8.8% on Sunday, according to Glassnode data. The amount of ETH on exchanges has declined by 43% since the beginning of July, which was around the time when digital asset treasury (DAT) purchasing started ramping up. “ETH is quietly entering its tightest supply environment ever,” commented macro investment research feed “Milk Road,” which added that it was “a level we’ve never seen before.” Compared to this, the amount of Bitcoin on exchanges was higher, at 14.7%, according to Glassnode. ETH keeps getting pulled into places that don’t sell, such as staking, restaking, layer-2 activity, DATs, collateral loops, and long-term custody, added Milk Road, suggesting that a supply squeeze could drive price momentum. “Sentiment feels heavy right now, but sentiment doesn’t dictate supply. ETH supply is tightening in the background while the market decides its next move. When that gap closes, price follows.” BTC vs ETH stored on exchanges. Source: Glassnode Volume momentum indicator signals buying strength Analyst “Sykodelic” said on Friday that there was an On-Balance Volume (OBV) — a volume-based momentum indicator — breakout above resistance. However, the price was rejected, which is a classic divergence signaling hidden buying strength that often precedes upside moves. Related: Why CFTC-approved spot Bitcoin, Ethereum trading is a 'massively huge deal' “This is a sign of buying strength, and typically, the price will follow. Nothing is guaranteed with indicators, but I have found that OBV tends to be one of the most reliable leading indicators.” “Mix that with the fact that the PA [price action] just looks bullish, I think we’re going to see high before any meaningful pullback,” they added. Ether OBV breaks above resistance. Source: Sykodelic ETH holds on to $3,000 Ether prices have mostly held above $3,000 for the past five days, but could not break resistance at $3,200. Over the past 24 hours, the asset has consolidated around the $3,050 area, where it currently stands. Ether price performance against Bitcoin caught attention last week with the ETH/BTC pair breaking above the downtrend line. Magazine: Indian investors look beyond Bitcoin, Japan to soften crypto tax: Asia Express # Ethereum # Cryptocurrency Exchange Add reaction